Home / Health & Social Care / Premium / Rolling news / Covid-19: Cornwall records 343 new cases in a single day, suggesting that everyone will have caught the disease by September as government’s local Tier strategy fails to make any impact Covid-19: Cornwall records 343 new cases in a single day, suggesting that everyone will have caught the disease by September as government’s local Tier strategy fails to make any impact Posted By Anne North on 2nd January 2021 By Anne North Cornwall yesterday (Friday) recorded 343 new cases of Covid - the highest ever in a single 24-hour period. This brings the total for the past five days… To view the rest of this article, please subscribe to Cornwall Reports Related Posts Why the council wants to keep West Cornwall in the darkBy Rashleigh MacFarlane People in West Cornwall are being urged to drop-in to an information… The cost of dying in Cornwall is set to riseBy Richard Whitehouse The cost of dying in Cornwall could be set to rise with… Cornwall in no hurry to lower the voting ageBy Richard Whitehouse Calls for the voting age to be lowered to 16 in time… Unemployment in Cornwall continues to riseBy Peter Tremayne Unemployment in Cornwall is continuing to increase, despite the lifting of the… This article has 3 comments I don’t see how you get to everyone infected by September. An infection rate of 343 cases per day covers the 565,000 population of Cornwall in about 1600 days, or about 4.5 years, not 8-9 months. Or are you talking about the increase in the rate, which is hard to predict when we haven’t really seen the impact of Tier 3 restrictions, or future lockdowns. Even so, like John Hawley, I will be staying in. Log in to Reply Yes, this “forecast” assumes exponential growth in transmission, which has increased tenfold in only 16 days. To get to whole population infection by September, this increase in transmission would have to increase by a factor of 10 every two weeks, and not hold stable. If the infection rate remains at its current level then you are correct, and only one tenth of Cornwall’s population (about 56,000 people) would get the bug before the end of this year. That would still completely overwhelm our NHS. I am also assuming that the Tier “controls” are having no impact at all at suppressing R with the “new” B117 strain of the virus. I accept it is early days – but ever since the last national lockdown was lifted on 4th December the rate of infection in Cornwall has rocketed. Log in to Reply I am staying in Log in to Reply Leave a Reply Cancel replyYou must be logged in to post a comment.